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Bungalow-to-Skyscraper: 2021 VAERS Anomaly vs Flu Controls

Day 2 · 5:13:29 · Dr. Jessica Rose · Shawn Buckley

  • 📉 From 1990–2020, VAERS reports tracked authorized vaccine types at ~23,000 AEs/year; a “normal” 2021 continuation would be ~53,000.
  • 🏗️ Observed 2021 reports surged to 753,047—an unexplained anomaly still unacknowledged by HHS/CDC/FDA owners of the data.
  • 💉 Time-matched COVID vs influenza comparison shows 118× more AEs and 6.2× more AE types despite only 2.3× more COVID doses—evidence of non-proportional, comprehensive harm.

Historical baseline, expected-versus-observed surge, and flu-normalized safety signal.

← Why Canadian Death-Reporting Rates Lag VAERS and Peer Systems | Canadian Rows Inside Foreign VAERS and a Seven-Day Temporal Signal →

Transcript

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:13:29

What I decided to do when I looked at the VAERS data, because we're lucky enough to have it go back to 1990, so we have a really nice baseline to refer to. And I looked at the number of authorized vaccine types, which you can see in green. Versus the number of adverse event reports in VAERS over time. So I looked at 1990 to 2020, and I extended the number of vaccine types, uh, in this particular plot to 2025 so that you could see the continuing trend. And maybe it doesn't look that obvious to a non-math person, but to me it's obvious that these two lines track real well together. They're both on a slight uh, you know, incline, they're very proportional. There's a proportional increase in the number of adverse events reported in, in relation to the number of products that has been increasing slowly over the years.

Speaker J · 5:14:33

That's good.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:14:34

That, uh, you know, just shows a relationship between the two, a correlation. Now something I, uh, thought I might do to help everybody understand what I'm about to show you is if the line, if the blue line, the number of adverse event reports in VAERS was continued in a quote unquote normal way in the context of the number of vaccine products that were added to the schedule or that were EU authorized between 2021 and 2025, which would include the COVID shots, you kind of we would expect it to track to about 53,000 reports. You know, it would be a little bit higher than it was in 2020.

Shawn Buckley · 5:15:19

So that's your blue square.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:15:20

That's the blue square that I just popped up.

Shawn Buckley · 5:15:23

Okay.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:15:24

That's what we would expect. Like we, in statistics, we have observed versus expected. So a lot of the time you'll run a statistical test and you'll say, okay, this is what we expect. This is what we observed and you can make a conclusion. So this, this isn't, um, cut in stone. This is just basically me as an investigator without bias making a predetermination as to what it might be if things were normal. So are you ready? This is what we get. So in 2021 in VAERS, and I'm going to show you this in a much more clear graph in the next slide, we have a surge up to 70, uh, 753,047 reports in 2021. It doesn't fit on any line. This is an anomaly. No matter if you're a data analyst or you're looking at pharmacovigilance databases or not, this is anomalous. And this has yet to be explained by the owners of this data, which is HHS CDC.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:16:29

And FDA. So, uh, observation does not match expectation. I'm going to show you the clear, um, the clear plot after I show you something else quite staggering. Um, and that's, that's the conclusion. So another thing that I've done in my years of studying this, um, is I decided to put away any argument that this is just because, you know, there were more COVID shots rolled out. Of course there are going to be more reports. So what I did was I time frame matched the influenza vaccine data and the COVID-19 shot data by the number of adverse events and also the number of types of adverse events. So when you submit a report to VAERS, you get assigned, or when you go to the doctor and they diagnose you with, say, myocarditis, you get assigned a Medra code, which they submit to VAERS.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:17:29

And of the Medra codes, you can choose between, or you can choose up to 25,000-odd. So myocarditis is a Medra code. That's going to be important when I show you what I'm about to show you. So in about 462 days I did this analysis back in March 2022. There were 2.3 times more COVID shots doled out than influenza shots. However, instead of a proportional increase, which you would expect if these things weren't more harmful, what we get is this. So this is the total number of adverse events collected from VAERS for the COVID-19 shots versus influenza. This is 118 times more. That is not proportional. That, that is anomalous. That's a safety signal if I ever saw a safety signal. And probably even more concerning is that the number of adverse event types of the 25,000 that you can choose from went up 6.2 times when you compare it to flu.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:18:37

This is a clear indication of comprehensive damage, which is perfectly aligned with the fact that this is mostly, if you ask me, this is immunologically based damage. Everybody's talking about autoimmune conditions, hematologic issues, brain issues. This is all based in immunology going wrong. Being offset for some reason. Every clinician I've spoken to, every pharmacist I've spoken to, every person who's injured I've spoken to has indicated that there's something very different about these shots, harm-wise, comprehensive injury-wise. And I can tell you, there are almost 2 million reports in VAERS. In the context of the COVID shots now. And they range from chills to death and everything in between.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:19:40

So if the COVID shots were not more harmful than the influenza vaccines, these numbers would be proportional. End of story. So this is the chart that I showed you before. This is my classic bungalow skyscraper plot that I call it. So on the x-axis here, you have the years that VAERS has been on the go since 1990. So like I said, we have this beautiful baseline. This is their data, by the way. I do nothing to this data. I just present it. The average number of adverse event reports per year for all vaccines combined up until 2020 was about 23,000. Okay, easy peasy, normal, normal. A few more products on the market, a few more types of adverse events, a few more adverse events, nothing, nothing anomalous. Enter 2021. We have this enormous surge of adverse event reports, and whereby the average, even though people stopped getting the shots, let's hope, uh, the average is still way above the baseline.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:20:49

So there is absolutely nothing normal about this. And again, I, I have to say this again, this has yet to be acknowledged by the owners of the data, which is why people like Senator Johnson, pardon me, are so important because he actually looks at bears in particular and he recognizes this and he calls it out. I'm sure if anything's going to be done with this data by them, but I hope so. One more chart which kind of proves the point. This is a comparison of influenza vaccines from 2019 to remove the bias that might have been injected in 2020 and COVID-19 from 2021. So it's a one-year match. This is per million doses. So this is normalized data. And there's a huge difference between the total reports, which is on the left, and the deaths on the right.

Dr. Jessica Rose · 5:21:53

This is exactly what Senator Johnson was talking about yesterday. There's nothing normal about this. If death surging like this doesn't comprise a, a very loud and clear safety signal from this pharmacovigilance database, I don't know what does. So it's not— this, this completely puts to bed the idea that it's because there are more shots doled out. It's not because of that.