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Q&A: Did the Virus Respect Political Boundaries?

Day 1 · 7:44:03 · Shawn Buckley · Denis G. Rancourt, PhD

  • 🧱 Buckley asks whether adjacent provinces, states, or countries had wholly different outcomes as if the virus stopped at borders.
  • 🇪🇺 Rancourt cites East versus West Europe: large Western peaks while Eastern Europe had essentially no excess mortality despite exchange.
  • ✏️ Drawn geographic lines of mortality are impossible under a spreading lethal virus model.

Cross-border mortality discontinuities challenge viral-spread causality.

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Transcript

Shawn Buckley · 7:44:03

Is there— is it the case that like in some political jurisdictions, so let's say a province that's beside another province or a state in the US that's beside another state or a country in Europe that's beside another country, that even though they're absolutely beside each other, they could have completely different outcomes, which would suggest that the COVID-19 virus would respect political boundaries.

Denis G. Rancourt, PhD · 7:44:27

Yes. Well, I've been, I've been showing that since, since we did the data, because we've studied over 100 and I think over 150 countries so far in detail and by province and down to lower jurisdictions. And we found many many fascinating barriers to vaccines on the, on geography maps. So, for example, East and Western Europe were divided, even though there was constant economic exchange and travel, they were completely divided. So at a time when Western Europe was experiencing large peaks in London, Paris, in Italy and so on, there was virtually there was absolutely no excess mortality in all of Eastern Europe. So you can actually draw on the map, you can draw a line, and we do this in our article, we draw a line and we say, there you go, that's impossible. If you believe the scenario of a spreading virus, that is impossible.

Denis G. Rancourt, PhD · 7:45:27

And so—.

Shawn Buckley · 7:45:27

A spreading virus causing death.

Denis G. Rancourt, PhD · 7:45:30

Yeah, causing death, because we are measuring mortality. That's right. We're measuring the consequences consequence of it, uh, the, the ultimate consequence of the infection. That's right. But, um, you know, why would it cause death in Western Europe and not cause death in Eastern Europe? You know, it brings up all these questions. But yes, so we see these strict boundaries. That's right, we see them in many places.

Shawn Buckley · 7:45:50

Now, that's right.